Early Detection Saves Lives

Lives can be saved when the concerned parties are notified of the flood incidents early in time

About the Floods Detection Management Information System (FDMIS)

What is FDMIS?

A digital early-warning system built for Busia

The Floods Detection Management Information System (FDMIS) is a real-time flood monitoring platform developed for Busia Municipality in Eastern Uganda. It empowers residents, local officials, and emergency responders with near real-time river discharge data and 14-day flood forecasts — enabling timely, life-saving decisions.

Busia sits at the confluence of River Malaba, River Lumboka, and their tributaries. Nearly flat terrain means upstream rainfall — even in Kenya — can surge through Busia with little warning. FDMIS bridges the gap between scientific flood data and community-level preparedness.

  • Early warning before floodwaters arrive
  • Automatic alerts to officials and communities
  • 30-day risk calendar for advance planning
  • Historical data archive for urban planning
How FDMIS works — end to end
🛰️
Satellite data
FDMIS pulls global weather & river models from satellites every day
📈
River forecast
14-day discharge volumes computed specifically for River Malaba at Busia
⚖️
Risk classification
FDMIS maps discharge to 5 risk levels using decades of hydrological records
📲
Alerts dispatched
Email & SMS sent automatically to municipal officials and at-risk communities
🌍
Data source
GloFAS — Global Flood Awareness System, operated by the European Commission & ECMWF. Trusted by 150+ countries.

River discharge

What does m³/s actually mean for Busia?

Discharge is the volume of water passing a point in the river every second, measured in cubic metres per second (m³/s). Think of it as how fast a pipe is delivering water — the higher the number, the more water is rushing through River Malaba right now.

For context: Busia's average daily river flow is just 1.27 m³/s. When discharge climbs past 2.76 m³/s (the Severe threshold), the river is more than twice its normal volume and almost certain to overflow into riverside homes, farms, and roads.

The standard deviation of ±0.73 m³/s tells you how much normal day-to-day variation to expect. Anything beyond two standard deviations above mean (≈ 2.73 m³/s) is statistically unusual and warrants close attention.

Baseline statistics — River Malaba, Busia
Mean daily flow
1.27
m³/s average
Std deviation
±0.73
m³/s variation
Flood trigger (P75)
1.62
m³/s warning level
Extreme flood (P99)
3.75
m³/s once per ~100yrs

Anomaly index

Is the river above or below normal right now?

The anomaly shown on the Flood Status page is the difference between today's discharge and the long-term historical mean. It instantly tells you whether the river is running higher or lower than usual — without needing to remember what "normal" looks like.

  • Positive value — discharge is above the historical mean. The higher the number, the more elevated the risk.
  • Negative value — discharge is below average. Typical of dry season or drought conditions.
  • Near zero — river is flowing close to its long-term average. No immediate concern.

Use the interactive panel to explore what different anomaly readings mean in plain language.

Anomaly explorer — drag to explore
+0.11
m³/s
Slight elevation above historical mean — within normal operating range.
-2.0 +3.0
DroughtNormalWarningSevereExtreme

Risk levels

Five levels — one clear signal for action

FDMIS uses five risk levels derived from the GloFAS global flood percentile framework. Each threshold represents how often River Malaba historically exceeds that discharge level — giving each alert statistical meaning, not just a colour on a screen.

A P75 threshold means the river exceeds that level 25% of the time — it is a routine signal to prepare. A P99 threshold means the river reaches that level only 1% of the time — a once-in-a-century event demanding maximum response.

For each level, FDMIS prescribes a specific recommended action — from "stay informed" at Normal, to "evacuate immediately" at Severe and Extreme.

Important note
Levels do not need to be high for you to act — a WARNING two days away is enough to start preparing. Early action always costs less than late response.
Risk level reference — tap any row

Who it serves

Built for everyone in Busia's flood-risk chain

FDMIS is not just a tool for engineers or government officials. It is designed so that a farmer checking their phone in the morning gets the same quality of information as a disaster management committee member in a meeting room.

The system delivers different alert channels to different audiences — SMS for immediate reach, email for detailed briefings, and the live dashboard for anyone with internet access.

Who relies on FDMIS alerts
🏘️
Riverside residents
Receive SMS alerts when risk crosses WARNING, giving time to move valuables and evacuate.
🏛️
Municipal officials
Email briefings trigger emergency response plans and resource pre-positioning.
🚑
Emergency responders
Uganda Red Cross, Police, and Army are notified directly to mobilise response teams.
🌾
Farmers & herders
Early warning means livestock can be moved and harvest prioritised before flooding.
🔬
Researchers & planners
Historical data archive informs flood-resilient infrastructure and urban zoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

FDMIS (Floods Detection Management Information System) is a digital flood early-warning platform maintained by Busia Municipal Council. It displays real-time river discharge data, 10-day flood forecasts, and 14-day risk calendars to help residents and authorities prepare for and respond to floods.